Dec 042006

Peter Suber has published his annual predictions for all things Open Access-related in the December Open Access Newsletter. His main predictions in outline:

  • more Open Access policies from funders and universities
  • institutional repositories will continue to spread
  • funding agencies with weak OA policies will come under pressure to tighten them
  • the key issue for funder mandates will be the length of the embargo
  • publishers that are not already “Green” (i.e. allow authors to post versions of their accepted articles) will come under pressure to become so
  • more publishers will adopt hybrid OA policies
  • book publishers will come to see that free online full-text *reading* will increase net sales

There are also links to the previous years’ predictions, so you can check out his track record: a quick look shows he’s much more right than wrong.

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